Cliff D Arcy,
17:41, Friday 10 June
2011
Since the first draw on 19 November 1994, the
National Lottery has become a British obsession.
Almost everyone aged 16 and over has had a flutter
on the Lotto. Alas, 53 out of every 54 tickets are
losers and end up in the bin.
Dumb luck
Of course, the Lotto balls are drawn randomly,
which means that every combination of six numbers
has an equal chance of being drawn. Therefore, no
matter how you choose your numbers, each set of six
has exactly the same probability of winning.
Whether you choose 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 (the six
smallest integers) or 39, 41, 43, 45, 47 and 49 (the
six highest odd numbers under 50), both sets have an
equal chance of being drawn: 1 in 13,983,816, to be
precise.
Even so, I am certain that my second set of
numbers will win a much bigger payout than the first
set. That's because, each week, around 10,000 people
stubbornly select the numbers one to six. Imagine
beating astronomical odds to win the Big One and
then walking away with, say, a mere £40,000!
As a former mathematician, I'm very interested in
the Lotto and the people's behaviour towards it.
Hence, I've come up these 10 tips aimed at helping
you to win more when your numbers come up:
1. Don't play
In the year to 31 March 2011, Camelot
generated ticket sales of £5.8 billion across all
its games, including the Lotto, EuroMillions and
scratchcards. This was a record high, beating the
£5.5 billion collected in 1997/98.
However, Camelot paid out only £2.9 billion to
lucky winners, just under half (49.5%) of the stakes
collected. What this means is that the Lotto does a
great job of turning £2 into 99p.
The humble laws of arithmetic tell us that the
Lotto is one of the worst wagers around. As a
result, the best way to maximise your returns is
not to play.
2. Ditch the days
A large proportion of Lotto punters use the same
set of 'lucky' numbers each week. Often, these
include birthdays of family members and friends. In
other words, a high proportion of players pick lots
of numbers from one to 31 every week.
To maximise the likelihood of winning a bigger
jackpot, pick two or more numbers between 32 and 49.
This group contains the least-picked numbers chosen
on playslips. Thus, when you win with high numbers,
you pocket higher amounts.
3. Leave months alone
As birthdays are popular with punters, the
numbers one to 12 are picked very heavily, as they
represent the 12 months from January to December.
Among these dozen numbers, 'lucky' seven stands out
as the most popular number.
Hence, don't choose too many numbers under 13 and
avoid number seven.
4. Don't be triskaidekaphobic
Triskaidekaphobia (Greek for 'three', 'ten' and
'morbid fear') is an irrational fear of the number
13. Indeed, triskaidekaphobia is said to be the
world's most common superstition.
Amusingly, number 13 is the second-least-drawn
ball in the history of the Lotto, appearing just 171
times as a main ball in 1,613 draws. (The
least-drawn ball is 20, drawn just 161 times as a
main ball.)
Millions of Lotto players refuse to pick 13,
which they regard as an 'unlucky' number. This is
all the more reason for smart players to include
this unpopular ball.
5. Play Superdraws
Every so often, Camelot announces special
Superdraws with guaranteed jackpots. Usually, these
coincide with celebrations such as Christmas Eve or
New Year's Eve.
Camelot uses its cash reserves to boost Superdraw
jackpots, with guaranteed payouts of £10 million and
above. With such big payouts on offer, these draws
have an edge over the standard Wednesday and
Saturday draws.
6. Play Rollovers
Likewise, when a jackpot isn't won and rolls over
into the next draw, the big prize quickly gets very
large. Double Rollovers happen quite often, but the
first Triple Rollover took almost ten years, finally
arriving on 29 May 2004, when six players each won a
tidy £3.7 million.
Earlier this year, Camelot changed its rules,
allowing Quadruple Rollovers. Alas, the first one
could be decades away.
7. Play online
Recently, I watched a Channel 4 documentary
called
Jackpots and Jinxes: Lottery Stories. In one
interview, one unlucky man explained how he won the
Lotto jackpot, but could not produce his ticket.
Despite protests from the public and MPs, his prize
went unclaimed.
In almost 17 years of the Lotto, £1.1 billion of
winnings have gone unclaimed. To avoid this
nightmare, simply play the Lotto online. With over
six million people registered, Camelot operates the
biggest online lottery in the world.
Your numbers are recorded on Camelot's database
with your personal details, so there's no worry
about lost tickets. Also, you get an automated email
informing you you're a winner and instructing you to
check your account.
8. Trust blind luck
As the Lotto is random, random-number selections
have the same chance of being drawn as your 'favourite'
numbers. If I were to play the Lotto, I would trust
to blind luck by choosing a Lucky Dip.
9. Don't join a syndicate
To win a big prize, it's best to play alone.
Don't join a syndicate or other Lotto group.
Syndicates play more lines and thus have greater
odds of winning, but winners are forced to split
their reward equally, reducing individual payouts.
10. How jackpot winners pick
numbers
To date, the National Lottery has created over
2,600 millionaire and multi-millionaires. In
February and March 2009, Camelot interviewed 100 of
these lucky winners to find out how they picked
their winning numbers. Here are the most common
responses, plus a few unusual replies, in A-Z order:
- Ages of family/friends
- Birthday dates
- Car registration plates
- Door numbers
- Dreamt them
- Lucky Dip from machine
- Picked out of a hat
- Ping-pong balls in washing machine
- Random numbers chosen by winner
- Telephone numbers
The weirdest way to pick numbers is probably that
used by
Billy Gibbons of Audlem, Cheshire. His pet
chicken, Kiev, walked over Billy's calculator,
generating five numbers which won Billy £1,297.
Billy himself picked the sixth number, which sadly
didn't come up.
The biggest Lotto winner
Camelot gives 12% of the money it collects as a
tax to HM Treasury. In 2010/11, the Treasury's take
was £699 million and, in total, Camelot has handed
over roughly £16 billion to the government. Thus,
the biggest guaranteed winner from the Lotto is the
chancellor, George Osborne. No surprises there!
How lucky have your balls
been?
Finally, this table shows how often each ball has
been picked as a main ball:
|
Ball |
Times picked |
Ball |
Times picked |
Ball |
Times picked |
Ball |
Times picked |
Ball |
Times picked |
| 1 |
187 |
11 |
217 |
21 |
176 |
31 |
214 |
41 |
171 |
| 2 |
204 |
12 |
196 |
22 |
188 |
32 |
210 |
42 |
196 |
| 3 |
197 |
13 |
171 |
23 |
218 |
33 |
216 |
43 |
220 |
| 4 |
193 |
14 |
183 |
24 |
199 |
34 |
197 |
44 |
222 |
| 5 |
185 |
15 |
179 |
25 |
214 |
35 |
205 |
45 |
197 |
| 6 |
207 |
16 |
178 |
26 |
191 |
36 |
187 |
46 |
190 |
| 7 |
188 |
17 |
199 |
27 |
208 |
37 |
180 |
47 |
209 |
| 8 |
189 |
18 |
198 |
28 |
197 |
38 |
225 |
48 |
201 |
| 9 |
209 |
19 |
196 |
29 |
190 |
39 |
206 |
49 |
198 |
| 10 |
196 |
20 |
161 |
30 |
207 |
40 |
213 |
|
|
For the record, the six most-drawn balls are 38,
44, 23, 43, 11 and 33 and the six least-drawn balls
are 20, 13, 41, 21, 16 and 15. Obviously, over
millions of draws, these discrepancies should
largely be ironed out, with balls cropping up at
roughly the same frequency.
Once again, always remember that you cannot beat
the Lotto, because it is absolutely random. However,
choosing unpopular numbers will help you to beat
other players, thus helping to bag bigger prizes
when your numbers come up.
SOURCE
http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/Ten-secrets-National-Lottery-yahoofinanceuk-2459162326.html